diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index a7622cf..3e3b457 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -42,6 +42,7 @@ The COVID-19 IFR curves represent these estimates: The seasonal influenza IFR curves represent data from the US CDC on multiple seasons of flu: +1. [2019-2020 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html) 1. [2018-2019 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html) 1. [2017-2018 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm) 1. [2016-2017 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2016-2017.html) diff --git a/covid_vs_flu.png b/covid_vs_flu.png index 9c25c2d..ff7eacc 100644 Binary files a/covid_vs_flu.png and b/covid_vs_flu.png differ diff --git a/covid_vs_flu.py b/covid_vs_flu.py index 0b5d9fe..603c53e 100755 --- a/covid_vs_flu.py +++ b/covid_vs_flu.py @@ -208,6 +208,16 @@ cdc_sympt = .575 # Age-stratified IFR estimates for seasonal influenza ifrs_flu = [ + # US CDC 2019-2020 influenza burden + # https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html + ('US CDC 2019-2020', { + (0,4): 254/4_291_677 * 100 * cdc_sympt, + (5,17): 180/8_214_257 * 100 * cdc_sympt, + (18,49): 2_669/15_325_708 * 100 * cdc_sympt, + (50,64): 5_133/8_416_702 * 100 * cdc_sympt, + (65,maxage): 13_673/1_946_161 * 100 * cdc_sympt, + }), + # US CDC 2018-2019 influenza burden # https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html ('US CDC 2018-2019', { @@ -354,7 +364,7 @@ def main(): ax.xaxis.set_minor_locator(ticker.MultipleLocator(base=5)) ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(ticker.MultipleLocator(base=10)) ax.yaxis.set_major_formatter(ticker.FormatStrFormatter('%g')) - ax.text(75, .0016, 'Seasonal Influenza:') + ax.text(75, .0025, 'Seasonal Influenza:') handles, labels = fig.gca().get_legend_handles_labels() x = len(ifrs_flu) ax.legend(handles=handles[-x:], labels=labels[-x:], loc='lower right',