update COVID IFR from Levin paper v7
This commit is contained in:
Marc Bevand
@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
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*Updated: 21 Oct 2020*
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*Updated: 16 Nov 2020*
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Author: Marc Bevand
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Author: Marc Bevand
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@@ -27,7 +27,7 @@ The COVID-19 IFR curves represent these estimates:
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1. [US CDC COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios](https://web.archive.org/web/20200911222029/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1);
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1. [US CDC COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios](https://web.archive.org/web/20200911222029/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1);
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which is based on [Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 mortality during the early stages of an epidemic: A modeling study in Hubei, China, and six regions in Europe](https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003189)
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which is based on [Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 mortality during the early stages of an epidemic: A modeling study in Hubei, China, and six regions in Europe](https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003189)
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1. [Verity et al.: Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis](https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2820%2930243-7/fulltext) (table 1)
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1. [Verity et al.: Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis](https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2820%2930243-7/fulltext) (table 1)
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1. [Levin et al.: Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v5) (table 3)
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1. [Levin et al.: Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v7) (table 3)
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1. [Perez-Saez et al.: Serology-informed estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality risk in Geneva, Switzerland](https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30584-3/fulltext)
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1. [Perez-Saez et al.: Serology-informed estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality risk in Geneva, Switzerland](https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30584-3/fulltext)
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1. [Poletti et al.: Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020](https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.31.2001383) (table 1, column "Any time")
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1. [Poletti et al.: Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020](https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.31.2001383) (table 1, column "Any time")
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1. [Picon et al.: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Population-based Prevalence, Risk Factors, Hospitalization, and Fatality Rates in Southern Brazil](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7493765/) (table 2)
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1. [Picon et al.: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Population-based Prevalence, Risk Factors, Hospitalization, and Fatality Rates in Southern Brazil](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7493765/) (table 2)
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@@ -98,214 +98,214 @@ ENE-COVID column):
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| ENE-COVID | COVID: US CDC | COVID: Verity | COVID: Levin | Flu: US CDC | Region |
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| ENE-COVID | COVID: US CDC | COVID: Verity | COVID: Levin | Flu: US CDC | Region |
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| ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------ |
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| ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ------ |
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| 1.274 | 1.311 | 1.605 | 2.247 | 0.125 | Japan |
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| 1.274 | 1.311 | 1.605 | 2.660 | 0.125 | Japan |
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| 1.065 | 1.092 | 1.382 | 1.847 | 0.106 | Italy |
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| 1.065 | 1.092 | 1.382 | 2.177 | 0.106 | Italy |
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| 1.041 | 1.043 | 1.339 | 1.806 | 0.102 | Greece |
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| 1.041 | 1.043 | 1.339 | 2.135 | 0.102 | Greece |
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| 0.993 | 1.012 | 1.305 | 1.702 | 0.100 | Germany |
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| 0.993 | 1.012 | 1.305 | 1.997 | 0.100 | Germany |
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| 0.984 | 1.045 | 1.320 | 1.726 | 0.104 | Portugal |
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| 0.984 | 1.045 | 1.320 | 2.027 | 0.104 | Portugal |
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| 0.931 | 0.985 | 1.270 | 1.648 | 0.100 | Martinique |
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| 0.931 | 0.985 | 1.270 | 1.938 | 0.100 | Martinique |
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| 0.919 | 0.933 | 1.221 | 1.658 | 0.095 | Lithuania |
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| 0.919 | 0.933 | 1.221 | 1.953 | 0.095 | Lithuania |
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| 0.916 | 0.942 | 1.207 | 1.648 | 0.093 | Spain |
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| 0.916 | 0.942 | 1.207 | 1.950 | 0.093 | Spain |
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| 0.914 | 0.941 | 1.201 | 1.606 | 0.095 | France |
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| 0.914 | 0.941 | 1.201 | 1.899 | 0.095 | France |
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| 0.899 | 1.008 | 1.248 | 1.556 | 0.102 | Finland |
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| 0.899 | 1.008 | 1.248 | 1.819 | 0.102 | Finland |
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| 0.881 | 0.919 | 1.192 | 1.624 | 0.095 | Latvia |
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| 0.881 | 0.919 | 1.192 | 1.910 | 0.095 | Latvia |
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| 0.875 | 0.957 | 1.205 | 1.528 | 0.096 | Puerto Rico |
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| 0.875 | 0.957 | 1.205 | 1.789 | 0.096 | Puerto Rico |
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| 0.868 | 0.892 | 1.171 | 1.516 | 0.093 | Estonia |
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| 0.868 | 0.892 | 1.171 | 1.773 | 0.093 | Estonia |
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| 0.865 | 0.932 | 1.209 | 1.487 | 0.098 | Croatia |
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| 0.865 | 0.932 | 1.209 | 1.733 | 0.098 | Croatia |
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| 0.855 | 0.965 | 1.205 | 1.471 | 0.099 | Malta |
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| 0.855 | 0.965 | 1.205 | 1.716 | 0.099 | Malta |
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| 0.846 | 0.881 | 1.137 | 1.478 | 0.089 | Belgium |
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| 0.846 | 0.881 | 1.137 | 1.740 | 0.089 | Belgium |
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| 0.843 | 0.905 | 1.181 | 1.489 | 0.095 | Slovenia |
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| 0.843 | 0.905 | 1.181 | 1.740 | 0.095 | Slovenia |
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| 0.840 | 0.943 | 1.154 | 1.471 | 0.093 | Sweden |
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| 0.840 | 0.943 | 1.154 | 1.722 | 0.093 | Sweden |
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| 0.836 | 0.910 | 1.149 | 1.462 | 0.090 | Austria |
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| 0.836 | 0.910 | 1.149 | 1.709 | 0.090 | Austria |
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| 0.825 | 0.897 | 1.132 | 1.447 | 0.089 | Switzerland |
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| 0.825 | 0.897 | 1.132 | 1.697 | 0.089 | Switzerland |
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| 0.810 | 0.861 | 1.117 | 1.396 | 0.089 | Europe |
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| 0.810 | 0.861 | 1.117 | 1.633 | 0.089 | Europe |
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| 0.802 | 0.909 | 1.141 | 1.394 | 0.093 | Netherlands |
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| 0.802 | 0.909 | 1.141 | 1.625 | 0.093 | Netherlands |
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| 0.801 | 0.949 | 1.181 | 1.377 | 0.098 | Bulgaria |
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| 0.801 | 0.949 | 1.181 | 1.592 | 0.098 | Bulgaria |
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| 0.798 | 0.864 | 1.113 | 1.399 | 0.090 | Guadeloupe |
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| 0.798 | 0.864 | 1.113 | 1.637 | 0.090 | Guadeloupe |
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| 0.797 | 0.935 | 1.136 | 1.370 | 0.093 | Denmark |
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| 0.797 | 0.935 | 1.136 | 1.593 | 0.093 | Denmark |
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| 0.794 | 0.868 | 1.089 | 1.384 | 0.087 | United Kingdom |
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| 0.794 | 0.868 | 1.089 | 1.622 | 0.087 | United Kingdom |
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| 0.791 | 0.811 | 1.102 | 1.367 | 0.087 | China, Hong Kong SAR |
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| 0.791 | 0.811 | 1.102 | 1.607 | 0.087 | China, Hong Kong SAR |
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| 0.759 | 0.830 | 1.090 | 1.285 | 0.089 | Romania |
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| 0.759 | 0.830 | 1.090 | 1.494 | 0.089 | Romania |
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| 0.753 | 0.854 | 1.101 | 1.323 | 0.093 | Hungary |
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| 0.753 | 0.854 | 1.101 | 1.534 | 0.093 | Hungary |
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| 0.745 | 0.800 | 1.064 | 1.285 | 0.087 | Poland |
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| 0.745 | 0.800 | 1.064 | 1.502 | 0.087 | Poland |
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| 0.739 | 0.828 | 1.059 | 1.315 | 0.084 | Channel Islands |
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| 0.739 | 0.828 | 1.059 | 1.538 | 0.084 | Channel Islands |
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| 0.738 | 0.878 | 1.092 | 1.302 | 0.092 | Czechia |
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| 0.738 | 0.878 | 1.092 | 1.510 | 0.092 | Czechia |
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| 0.734 | 0.810 | 1.047 | 1.288 | 0.085 | Canada |
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| 0.734 | 0.810 | 1.047 | 1.505 | 0.085 | Canada |
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| 0.719 | 0.756 | 0.998 | 1.259 | 0.079 | Barbados |
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| 0.719 | 0.756 | 0.998 | 1.480 | 0.079 | Barbados |
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| 0.713 | 0.808 | 1.038 | 1.210 | 0.084 | Curaçao |
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| 0.713 | 0.808 | 1.038 | 1.403 | 0.084 | Curaçao |
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| 0.709 | 0.802 | 1.007 | 1.239 | 0.082 | Norway |
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| 0.709 | 0.802 | 1.007 | 1.447 | 0.082 | Norway |
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| 0.680 | 0.800 | 1.029 | 1.160 | 0.088 | Serbia |
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| 0.680 | 0.800 | 1.029 | 1.337 | 0.088 | Serbia |
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| 0.676 | 0.694 | 0.904 | 1.193 | 0.071 | Uruguay |
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| 0.676 | 0.694 | 0.904 | 1.407 | 0.071 | Uruguay |
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| 0.675 | 0.745 | 0.967 | 1.181 | 0.079 | Northern America |
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| 0.675 | 0.745 | 0.967 | 1.379 | 0.079 | Northern America |
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| 0.671 | 0.736 | 0.944 | 1.174 | 0.076 | Australia |
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| 0.671 | 0.736 | 0.944 | 1.374 | 0.076 | Australia |
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| 0.671 | 0.733 | 0.983 | 1.103 | 0.080 | Ukraine |
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| 0.671 | 0.733 | 0.983 | 1.271 | 0.080 | Ukraine |
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| 0.669 | 0.738 | 0.958 | 1.169 | 0.078 | United States of America |
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| 0.669 | 0.738 | 0.958 | 1.365 | 0.078 | United States of America |
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| 0.659 | 0.757 | 1.011 | 1.088 | 0.085 | Bosnia and Herzegovina |
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| 0.659 | 0.757 | 1.011 | 1.243 | 0.085 | Bosnia and Herzegovina |
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| 0.654 | 0.742 | 0.945 | 1.137 | 0.077 | New Zealand |
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| 0.654 | 0.742 | 0.945 | 1.323 | 0.077 | New Zealand |
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| 0.644 | 0.735 | 0.941 | 1.131 | 0.077 | Cuba |
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| 0.644 | 0.735 | 0.941 | 1.314 | 0.077 | Cuba |
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| 0.641 | 0.877 | 1.059 | 1.152 | 0.094 | United States Virgin Islands |
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| 0.641 | 0.877 | 1.059 | 1.308 | 0.094 | United States Virgin Islands |
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| 0.633 | 0.725 | 0.963 | 1.090 | 0.077 | Republic of Korea |
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| 0.633 | 0.725 | 0.963 | 1.259 | 0.077 | Republic of Korea |
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| 0.628 | 0.686 | 0.938 | 1.100 | 0.077 | China, Taiwan Province of China |
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| 0.628 | 0.686 | 0.938 | 1.280 | 0.077 | China, Taiwan Province of China |
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| 0.624 | 0.663 | 0.916 | 1.030 | 0.074 | Russian Federation |
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| 0.624 | 0.663 | 0.916 | 1.191 | 0.074 | Russian Federation |
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| 0.624 | 0.657 | 0.921 | 1.082 | 0.075 | Belarus |
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| 0.624 | 0.657 | 0.921 | 1.252 | 0.075 | Belarus |
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| 0.615 | 0.668 | 0.881 | 1.078 | 0.070 | Luxembourg |
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| 0.615 | 0.668 | 0.881 | 1.261 | 0.070 | Luxembourg |
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| 0.607 | 0.670 | 0.896 | 1.002 | 0.073 | Georgia |
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| 0.607 | 0.670 | 0.896 | 1.155 | 0.073 | Georgia |
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| 0.605 | 0.683 | 0.888 | 1.061 | 0.073 | Iceland |
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| 0.605 | 0.683 | 0.888 | 1.236 | 0.073 | Iceland |
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| 0.604 | 0.709 | 0.935 | 1.059 | 0.079 | Slovakia |
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| 0.604 | 0.709 | 0.935 | 1.222 | 0.079 | Slovakia |
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| 0.582 | 0.667 | 0.891 | 0.989 | 0.075 | Montenegro |
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| 0.582 | 0.667 | 0.891 | 1.138 | 0.075 | Montenegro |
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| 0.563 | 0.653 | 0.838 | 0.972 | 0.070 | Ireland |
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| 0.563 | 0.653 | 0.838 | 1.126 | 0.070 | Ireland |
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| 0.561 | 0.649 | 0.839 | 0.957 | 0.069 | Cyprus |
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| 0.561 | 0.649 | 0.839 | 1.106 | 0.069 | Cyprus |
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| 0.548 | 0.659 | 0.857 | 0.941 | 0.071 | Albania |
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| 0.548 | 0.659 | 0.857 | 1.079 | 0.071 | Albania |
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| 0.531 | 0.652 | 0.874 | 0.920 | 0.072 | Aruba |
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| 0.531 | 0.652 | 0.874 | 1.049 | 0.072 | Aruba |
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| 0.518 | 0.580 | 0.754 | 0.902 | 0.062 | Oceania |
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| 0.518 | 0.580 | 0.754 | 1.052 | 0.062 | Oceania |
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| 0.510 | 0.588 | 0.795 | 0.881 | 0.065 | Thailand |
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| 0.510 | 0.588 | 0.795 | 1.017 | 0.065 | Thailand |
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| 0.500 | 0.569 | 0.763 | 0.880 | 0.063 | Réunion |
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| 0.500 | 0.569 | 0.763 | 1.020 | 0.063 | Réunion |
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| 0.499 | 0.545 | 0.710 | 0.872 | 0.060 | Israel |
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| 0.499 | 0.545 | 0.710 | 1.021 | 0.060 | Israel |
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| 0.497 | 0.522 | 0.748 | 0.794 | 0.059 | Armenia |
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| 0.497 | 0.522 | 0.748 | 0.915 | 0.059 | Armenia |
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| 0.497 | 0.616 | 0.816 | 0.851 | 0.070 | North Macedonia |
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| 0.497 | 0.616 | 0.816 | 0.968 | 0.070 | North Macedonia |
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| 0.493 | 0.550 | 0.736 | 0.861 | 0.061 | Chile |
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| 0.493 | 0.550 | 0.736 | 1.001 | 0.061 | Chile |
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| 0.479 | 0.550 | 0.796 | 0.829 | 0.067 | Singapore |
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| 0.479 | 0.550 | 0.796 | 0.952 | 0.067 | Singapore |
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| 0.454 | 0.515 | 0.671 | 0.790 | 0.056 | Argentina |
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| 0.454 | 0.515 | 0.671 | 0.917 | 0.056 | Argentina |
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| 0.449 | 0.514 | 0.738 | 0.770 | 0.062 | China, Macao SAR |
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| 0.449 | 0.514 | 0.738 | 0.887 | 0.062 | China, Macao SAR |
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| 0.447 | 0.544 | 0.732 | 0.772 | 0.063 | Mauritius |
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| 0.447 | 0.544 | 0.732 | 0.885 | 0.063 | Mauritius |
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| 0.435 | 0.501 | 0.721 | 0.766 | 0.062 | Republic of Moldova |
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| 0.435 | 0.501 | 0.721 | 0.876 | 0.062 | Republic of Moldova |
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| 0.415 | 0.511 | 0.681 | 0.717 | 0.058 | Trinidad and Tobago |
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| 0.415 | 0.511 | 0.681 | 0.820 | 0.058 | Trinidad and Tobago |
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| 0.413 | 0.475 | 0.638 | 0.712 | 0.053 | Costa Rica |
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| 0.413 | 0.475 | 0.638 | 0.823 | 0.053 | Costa Rica |
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| 0.413 | 0.468 | 0.626 | 0.704 | 0.051 | Saint Lucia |
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| 0.413 | 0.468 | 0.626 | 0.818 | 0.051 | Saint Lucia |
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| 0.409 | 0.507 | 0.695 | 0.707 | 0.061 | China |
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| 0.409 | 0.507 | 0.695 | 0.806 | 0.061 | China |
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| 0.394 | 0.497 | 0.648 | 0.712 | 0.052 | Antigua and Barbuda |
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| 0.394 | 0.497 | 0.648 | 0.822 | 0.052 | Antigua and Barbuda |
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| 0.387 | 0.495 | 0.651 | 0.668 | 0.056 | Sri Lanka |
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| 0.387 | 0.495 | 0.651 | 0.762 | 0.056 | Sri Lanka |
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| 0.377 | 0.487 | 0.635 | 0.622 | 0.050 | Dem. People's Republic of Korea |
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| 0.377 | 0.487 | 0.635 | 0.706 | 0.050 | Dem. People's Republic of Korea |
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| 0.376 | 0.437 | 0.594 | 0.645 | 0.050 | Brazil |
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| 0.376 | 0.437 | 0.594 | 0.743 | 0.050 | Brazil |
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| 0.365 | 0.464 | 0.611 | 0.618 | 0.052 | Guam |
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| 0.365 | 0.464 | 0.611 | 0.703 | 0.052 | Guam |
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| 0.364 | 0.425 | 0.569 | 0.627 | 0.047 | Jamaica |
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| 0.364 | 0.425 | 0.569 | 0.725 | 0.047 | Jamaica |
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| 0.361 | 0.454 | 0.605 | 0.663 | 0.051 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines |
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| 0.361 | 0.454 | 0.605 | 0.764 | 0.051 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines |
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| 0.359 | 0.399 | 0.540 | 0.623 | 0.045 | Panama |
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| 0.359 | 0.399 | 0.540 | 0.724 | 0.045 | Panama |
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| 0.358 | 0.418 | 0.566 | 0.615 | 0.048 | WORLD |
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| 0.358 | 0.418 | 0.566 | 0.709 | 0.048 | WORLD |
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| 0.356 | 0.410 | 0.555 | 0.614 | 0.047 | Latin America and the Caribbean |
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| 0.356 | 0.410 | 0.555 | 0.710 | 0.047 | Latin America and the Caribbean |
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| 0.355 | 0.412 | 0.560 | 0.613 | 0.047 | Colombia |
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| 0.355 | 0.412 | 0.560 | 0.707 | 0.047 | Colombia |
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| 0.354 | 0.438 | 0.595 | 0.642 | 0.050 | Grenada |
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| 0.354 | 0.438 | 0.595 | 0.740 | 0.050 | Grenada |
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| 0.347 | 0.399 | 0.528 | 0.595 | 0.045 | El Salvador |
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| 0.347 | 0.399 | 0.528 | 0.687 | 0.045 | El Salvador |
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| 0.343 | 0.363 | 0.528 | 0.602 | 0.043 | Viet Nam |
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| 0.343 | 0.363 | 0.528 | 0.701 | 0.043 | Viet Nam |
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| 0.342 | 0.408 | 0.552 | 0.588 | 0.047 | Turkey |
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| 0.342 | 0.408 | 0.552 | 0.675 | 0.047 | Turkey |
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| 0.339 | 0.397 | 0.537 | 0.583 | 0.045 | Peru |
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| 0.339 | 0.397 | 0.537 | 0.671 | 0.045 | Peru |
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| 0.336 | 0.394 | 0.553 | 0.579 | 0.047 | Tunisia |
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| 0.336 | 0.394 | 0.553 | 0.664 | 0.047 | Tunisia |
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| 0.327 | 0.432 | 0.573 | 0.547 | 0.049 | New Caledonia |
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| 0.327 | 0.432 | 0.573 | 0.616 | 0.049 | New Caledonia |
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| 0.325 | 0.394 | 0.541 | 0.559 | 0.047 | Asia |
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| 0.325 | 0.394 | 0.541 | 0.640 | 0.047 | Asia |
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| 0.310 | 0.350 | 0.463 | 0.535 | 0.039 | Bolivia (Plurinational State of) |
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| 0.310 | 0.350 | 0.463 | 0.622 | 0.039 | Bolivia (Plurinational State of) |
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| 0.309 | 0.348 | 0.480 | 0.532 | 0.040 | Dominican Republic |
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| 0.309 | 0.348 | 0.480 | 0.616 | 0.040 | Dominican Republic |
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| 0.307 | 0.348 | 0.503 | 0.505 | 0.042 | Kazakhstan |
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| 0.307 | 0.348 | 0.503 | 0.574 | 0.042 | Kazakhstan |
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| 0.306 | 0.352 | 0.485 | 0.532 | 0.041 | Mexico |
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| 0.306 | 0.352 | 0.485 | 0.615 | 0.041 | Mexico |
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| 0.305 | 0.365 | 0.502 | 0.526 | 0.042 | Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) |
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| 0.305 | 0.365 | 0.502 | 0.604 | 0.042 | Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) |
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| 0.303 | 0.347 | 0.474 | 0.525 | 0.040 | Ecuador |
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| 0.303 | 0.347 | 0.474 | 0.607 | 0.040 | Ecuador |
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| 0.295 | 0.346 | 0.482 | 0.501 | 0.041 | Lebanon |
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| 0.295 | 0.346 | 0.482 | 0.576 | 0.041 | Lebanon |
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| 0.293 | 0.400 | 0.542 | 0.477 | 0.045 | Seychelles |
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| 0.293 | 0.400 | 0.542 | 0.527 | 0.045 | Seychelles |
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| 0.287 | 0.384 | 0.527 | 0.513 | 0.046 | French Polynesia |
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| 0.287 | 0.384 | 0.527 | 0.579 | 0.046 | French Polynesia |
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| 0.282 | 0.326 | 0.456 | 0.456 | 0.038 | Guyana |
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| 0.282 | 0.326 | 0.456 | 0.521 | 0.038 | Guyana |
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| 0.280 | 0.335 | 0.463 | 0.469 | 0.039 | Suriname |
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| 0.280 | 0.335 | 0.463 | 0.536 | 0.039 | Suriname |
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| 0.273 | 0.313 | 0.474 | 0.452 | 0.039 | Azerbaijan |
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| 0.273 | 0.313 | 0.474 | 0.515 | 0.039 | Azerbaijan |
|
||||||
| 0.272 | 0.337 | 0.474 | 0.462 | 0.041 | Morocco |
|
| 0.272 | 0.337 | 0.474 | 0.522 | 0.041 | Morocco |
|
||||||
| 0.269 | 0.358 | 0.495 | 0.460 | 0.042 | Bahamas |
|
| 0.269 | 0.358 | 0.495 | 0.517 | 0.042 | Bahamas |
|
||||||
| 0.263 | 0.325 | 0.453 | 0.442 | 0.039 | Malaysia |
|
| 0.263 | 0.325 | 0.453 | 0.504 | 0.039 | Malaysia |
|
||||||
| 0.260 | 0.305 | 0.426 | 0.446 | 0.037 | Algeria |
|
| 0.260 | 0.305 | 0.426 | 0.512 | 0.037 | Algeria |
|
||||||
| 0.257 | 0.307 | 0.418 | 0.436 | 0.037 | Paraguay |
|
| 0.257 | 0.307 | 0.418 | 0.500 | 0.037 | Paraguay |
|
||||||
| 0.251 | 0.297 | 0.403 | 0.423 | 0.035 | Bhutan |
|
| 0.251 | 0.297 | 0.403 | 0.486 | 0.035 | Bhutan |
|
||||||
| 0.246 | 0.301 | 0.431 | 0.418 | 0.037 | Iran (Islamic Republic of) |
|
| 0.246 | 0.301 | 0.431 | 0.476 | 0.037 | Iran (Islamic Republic of) |
|
||||||
| 0.234 | 0.293 | 0.414 | 0.398 | 0.037 | India |
|
| 0.234 | 0.293 | 0.414 | 0.452 | 0.037 | India |
|
||||||
| 0.229 | 0.293 | 0.416 | 0.387 | 0.036 | Indonesia |
|
| 0.229 | 0.293 | 0.416 | 0.437 | 0.036 | Indonesia |
|
||||||
| 0.228 | 0.259 | 0.373 | 0.393 | 0.032 | Nicaragua |
|
| 0.228 | 0.259 | 0.373 | 0.452 | 0.032 | Nicaragua |
|
||||||
| 0.221 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.374 | 0.031 | Bangladesh |
|
| 0.221 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.428 | 0.031 | Bangladesh |
|
||||||
| 0.221 | 0.232 | 0.349 | 0.374 | 0.029 | Cabo Verde |
|
| 0.221 | 0.232 | 0.349 | 0.432 | 0.029 | Cabo Verde |
|
||||||
| 0.217 | 0.284 | 0.375 | 0.310 | 0.032 | Tonga |
|
| 0.217 | 0.284 | 0.375 | 0.342 | 0.032 | Tonga |
|
||||||
| 0.215 | 0.277 | 0.401 | 0.366 | 0.036 | Myanmar |
|
| 0.215 | 0.277 | 0.401 | 0.412 | 0.036 | Myanmar |
|
||||||
| 0.208 | 0.235 | 0.334 | 0.351 | 0.029 | Belize |
|
| 0.208 | 0.235 | 0.334 | 0.406 | 0.029 | Belize |
|
||||||
| 0.206 | 0.235 | 0.331 | 0.353 | 0.029 | Honduras |
|
| 0.206 | 0.235 | 0.331 | 0.407 | 0.029 | Honduras |
|
||||||
| 0.204 | 0.233 | 0.323 | 0.349 | 0.029 | Guatemala |
|
| 0.204 | 0.233 | 0.323 | 0.403 | 0.029 | Guatemala |
|
||||||
| 0.204 | 0.255 | 0.360 | 0.342 | 0.032 | Philippines |
|
| 0.204 | 0.255 | 0.360 | 0.388 | 0.032 | Philippines |
|
||||||
| 0.202 | 0.267 | 0.360 | 0.344 | 0.033 | Nepal |
|
| 0.202 | 0.267 | 0.360 | 0.388 | 0.033 | Nepal |
|
||||||
| 0.197 | 0.249 | 0.381 | 0.331 | 0.032 | Brunei Darussalam |
|
| 0.197 | 0.249 | 0.381 | 0.373 | 0.032 | Brunei Darussalam |
|
||||||
| 0.194 | 0.237 | 0.331 | 0.330 | 0.030 | Haiti |
|
| 0.194 | 0.237 | 0.331 | 0.376 | 0.030 | Haiti |
|
||||||
| 0.193 | 0.251 | 0.355 | 0.325 | 0.032 | South Africa |
|
| 0.193 | 0.251 | 0.355 | 0.366 | 0.032 | South Africa |
|
||||||
| 0.193 | 0.222 | 0.339 | 0.316 | 0.029 | Turkmenistan |
|
| 0.193 | 0.222 | 0.339 | 0.360 | 0.029 | Turkmenistan |
|
||||||
| 0.192 | 0.247 | 0.343 | 0.321 | 0.031 | Egypt |
|
| 0.192 | 0.247 | 0.343 | 0.363 | 0.031 | Egypt |
|
||||||
| 0.192 | 0.262 | 0.376 | 0.318 | 0.033 | Fiji |
|
| 0.192 | 0.262 | 0.376 | 0.354 | 0.033 | Fiji |
|
||||||
| 0.188 | 0.220 | 0.335 | 0.310 | 0.029 | Kyrgyzstan |
|
| 0.188 | 0.220 | 0.335 | 0.353 | 0.029 | Kyrgyzstan |
|
||||||
| 0.188 | 0.245 | 0.353 | 0.344 | 0.031 | French Guiana |
|
| 0.188 | 0.245 | 0.353 | 0.392 | 0.031 | French Guiana |
|
||||||
| 0.187 | 0.219 | 0.340 | 0.317 | 0.029 | Uzbekistan |
|
| 0.187 | 0.219 | 0.340 | 0.359 | 0.029 | Uzbekistan |
|
||||||
| 0.185 | 0.224 | 0.323 | 0.317 | 0.029 | Syrian Arab Republic |
|
| 0.185 | 0.224 | 0.323 | 0.361 | 0.029 | Syrian Arab Republic |
|
||||||
| 0.182 | 0.226 | 0.324 | 0.307 | 0.028 | Libya |
|
| 0.182 | 0.226 | 0.324 | 0.349 | 0.028 | Libya |
|
||||||
| 0.181 | 0.229 | 0.319 | 0.308 | 0.029 | Lesotho |
|
| 0.181 | 0.229 | 0.319 | 0.350 | 0.029 | Lesotho |
|
||||||
| 0.173 | 0.216 | 0.320 | 0.294 | 0.027 | Mongolia |
|
| 0.173 | 0.216 | 0.320 | 0.333 | 0.027 | Mongolia |
|
||||||
| 0.170 | 0.225 | 0.317 | 0.287 | 0.028 | Djibouti |
|
| 0.170 | 0.225 | 0.317 | 0.324 | 0.028 | Djibouti |
|
||||||
| 0.170 | 0.238 | 0.325 | 0.271 | 0.029 | Samoa |
|
| 0.170 | 0.238 | 0.325 | 0.299 | 0.029 | Samoa |
|
||||||
| 0.168 | 0.221 | 0.314 | 0.288 | 0.029 | Cambodia |
|
| 0.168 | 0.221 | 0.314 | 0.325 | 0.029 | Cambodia |
|
||||||
| 0.164 | 0.210 | 0.292 | 0.274 | 0.026 | Pakistan |
|
| 0.164 | 0.210 | 0.292 | 0.310 | 0.026 | Pakistan |
|
||||||
| 0.158 | 0.204 | 0.273 | 0.268 | 0.026 | Eritrea |
|
| 0.158 | 0.204 | 0.273 | 0.303 | 0.026 | Eritrea |
|
||||||
| 0.157 | 0.183 | 0.277 | 0.252 | 0.024 | Maldives |
|
| 0.157 | 0.183 | 0.277 | 0.285 | 0.024 | Maldives |
|
||||||
| 0.157 | 0.194 | 0.268 | 0.281 | 0.024 | Mayotte |
|
| 0.157 | 0.194 | 0.268 | 0.324 | 0.024 | Mayotte |
|
||||||
| 0.156 | 0.199 | 0.279 | 0.260 | 0.025 | Jordan |
|
| 0.156 | 0.199 | 0.279 | 0.294 | 0.025 | Jordan |
|
||||||
| 0.155 | 0.203 | 0.289 | 0.263 | 0.027 | Botswana |
|
| 0.155 | 0.203 | 0.289 | 0.296 | 0.027 | Botswana |
|
||||||
| 0.154 | 0.199 | 0.287 | 0.257 | 0.026 | Lao People's Democratic Republic |
|
| 0.154 | 0.199 | 0.287 | 0.289 | 0.026 | Lao People's Democratic Republic |
|
||||||
| 0.152 | 0.209 | 0.279 | 0.253 | 0.025 | Timor-Leste |
|
| 0.152 | 0.209 | 0.279 | 0.285 | 0.025 | Timor-Leste |
|
||||||
| 0.146 | 0.180 | 0.282 | 0.248 | 0.024 | Saudi Arabia |
|
| 0.146 | 0.180 | 0.282 | 0.281 | 0.024 | Saudi Arabia |
|
||||||
| 0.145 | 0.187 | 0.254 | 0.239 | 0.024 | Eswatini |
|
| 0.145 | 0.187 | 0.254 | 0.271 | 0.024 | Eswatini |
|
||||||
| 0.139 | 0.173 | 0.248 | 0.234 | 0.023 | Namibia |
|
| 0.139 | 0.173 | 0.248 | 0.265 | 0.023 | Namibia |
|
||||||
| 0.135 | 0.176 | 0.302 | 0.222 | 0.024 | Kuwait |
|
| 0.135 | 0.176 | 0.302 | 0.246 | 0.024 | Kuwait |
|
||||||
| 0.134 | 0.173 | 0.244 | 0.224 | 0.023 | Sudan |
|
| 0.134 | 0.173 | 0.244 | 0.254 | 0.023 | Sudan |
|
||||||
| 0.133 | 0.173 | 0.245 | 0.221 | 0.023 | Gabon |
|
| 0.133 | 0.173 | 0.245 | 0.248 | 0.023 | Gabon |
|
||||||
| 0.130 | 0.167 | 0.231 | 0.216 | 0.022 | Ethiopia |
|
| 0.130 | 0.167 | 0.231 | 0.244 | 0.022 | Ethiopia |
|
||||||
| 0.130 | 0.174 | 0.242 | 0.224 | 0.023 | Solomon Islands |
|
| 0.130 | 0.174 | 0.242 | 0.252 | 0.023 | Solomon Islands |
|
||||||
| 0.128 | 0.158 | 0.245 | 0.207 | 0.022 | Tajikistan |
|
| 0.128 | 0.158 | 0.245 | 0.233 | 0.022 | Tajikistan |
|
||||||
| 0.127 | 0.165 | 0.236 | 0.212 | 0.022 | Africa |
|
| 0.127 | 0.165 | 0.236 | 0.239 | 0.022 | Africa |
|
||||||
| 0.125 | 0.157 | 0.229 | 0.212 | 0.022 | Iraq |
|
| 0.125 | 0.157 | 0.229 | 0.240 | 0.022 | Iraq |
|
||||||
| 0.125 | 0.150 | 0.253 | 0.199 | 0.021 | Bahrain |
|
| 0.125 | 0.150 | 0.253 | 0.224 | 0.021 | Bahrain |
|
||||||
| 0.124 | 0.163 | 0.225 | 0.204 | 0.021 | South Sudan |
|
| 0.124 | 0.163 | 0.225 | 0.230 | 0.021 | South Sudan |
|
||||||
| 0.123 | 0.168 | 0.244 | 0.196 | 0.023 | Vanuatu |
|
| 0.123 | 0.168 | 0.244 | 0.216 | 0.023 | Vanuatu |
|
||||||
| 0.122 | 0.165 | 0.247 | 0.204 | 0.023 | Papua New Guinea |
|
| 0.122 | 0.165 | 0.247 | 0.227 | 0.023 | Papua New Guinea |
|
||||||
| 0.121 | 0.157 | 0.226 | 0.203 | 0.021 | Liberia |
|
| 0.121 | 0.157 | 0.226 | 0.228 | 0.021 | Liberia |
|
||||||
| 0.121 | 0.157 | 0.222 | 0.203 | 0.021 | Benin |
|
| 0.121 | 0.157 | 0.222 | 0.229 | 0.021 | Benin |
|
||||||
| 0.120 | 0.155 | 0.224 | 0.199 | 0.021 | Mauritania |
|
| 0.120 | 0.155 | 0.224 | 0.224 | 0.021 | Mauritania |
|
||||||
| 0.120 | 0.157 | 0.222 | 0.196 | 0.021 | State of Palestine |
|
| 0.120 | 0.157 | 0.222 | 0.220 | 0.021 | State of Palestine |
|
||||||
| 0.119 | 0.150 | 0.219 | 0.173 | 0.020 | Sao Tome and Principe |
|
| 0.119 | 0.150 | 0.219 | 0.191 | 0.020 | Sao Tome and Principe |
|
||||||
| 0.118 | 0.178 | 0.278 | 0.228 | 0.027 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) |
|
| 0.118 | 0.178 | 0.278 | 0.250 | 0.027 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) |
|
||||||
| 0.118 | 0.138 | 0.222 | 0.195 | 0.020 | Oman |
|
| 0.118 | 0.138 | 0.222 | 0.222 | 0.020 | Oman |
|
||||||
| 0.118 | 0.160 | 0.260 | 0.195 | 0.024 | Western Sahara |
|
| 0.118 | 0.160 | 0.260 | 0.214 | 0.024 | Western Sahara |
|
||||||
| 0.116 | 0.157 | 0.230 | 0.190 | 0.021 | Ghana |
|
| 0.116 | 0.157 | 0.230 | 0.212 | 0.021 | Ghana |
|
||||||
| 0.116 | 0.146 | 0.216 | 0.193 | 0.020 | Madagascar |
|
| 0.116 | 0.146 | 0.216 | 0.218 | 0.020 | Madagascar |
|
||||||
| 0.113 | 0.149 | 0.220 | 0.193 | 0.021 | Comoros |
|
| 0.113 | 0.149 | 0.220 | 0.217 | 0.021 | Comoros |
|
||||||
| 0.112 | 0.142 | 0.205 | 0.188 | 0.020 | Zimbabwe |
|
| 0.112 | 0.142 | 0.205 | 0.211 | 0.020 | Zimbabwe |
|
||||||
| 0.112 | 0.146 | 0.216 | 0.193 | 0.021 | Rwanda |
|
| 0.112 | 0.146 | 0.216 | 0.218 | 0.021 | Rwanda |
|
||||||
| 0.111 | 0.146 | 0.208 | 0.184 | 0.020 | Senegal |
|
| 0.111 | 0.146 | 0.208 | 0.206 | 0.020 | Senegal |
|
||||||
| 0.110 | 0.144 | 0.203 | 0.182 | 0.019 | Democratic Republic of the Congo |
|
| 0.110 | 0.144 | 0.203 | 0.205 | 0.019 | Democratic Republic of the Congo |
|
||||||
| 0.107 | 0.139 | 0.202 | 0.175 | 0.020 | Yemen |
|
| 0.107 | 0.139 | 0.202 | 0.196 | 0.020 | Yemen |
|
||||||
| 0.106 | 0.141 | 0.203 | 0.174 | 0.019 | Sierra Leone |
|
| 0.106 | 0.141 | 0.203 | 0.195 | 0.019 | Sierra Leone |
|
||||||
| 0.103 | 0.165 | 0.239 | 0.197 | 0.023 | Kiribati |
|
| 0.103 | 0.165 | 0.239 | 0.217 | 0.023 | Kiribati |
|
||||||
| 0.103 | 0.136 | 0.192 | 0.168 | 0.019 | Mozambique |
|
| 0.103 | 0.136 | 0.192 | 0.189 | 0.019 | Mozambique |
|
||||||
| 0.102 | 0.135 | 0.192 | 0.168 | 0.019 | Somalia |
|
| 0.102 | 0.135 | 0.192 | 0.189 | 0.019 | Somalia |
|
||||||
| 0.102 | 0.139 | 0.202 | 0.168 | 0.019 | Togo |
|
| 0.102 | 0.139 | 0.202 | 0.187 | 0.019 | Togo |
|
||||||
| 0.101 | 0.137 | 0.201 | 0.166 | 0.019 | Congo |
|
| 0.101 | 0.137 | 0.201 | 0.185 | 0.019 | Congo |
|
||||||
| 0.101 | 0.133 | 0.191 | 0.166 | 0.019 | Central African Republic |
|
| 0.101 | 0.133 | 0.191 | 0.186 | 0.019 | Central African Republic |
|
||||||
| 0.100 | 0.134 | 0.194 | 0.166 | 0.019 | Guinea |
|
| 0.100 | 0.134 | 0.194 | 0.185 | 0.019 | Guinea |
|
||||||
| 0.100 | 0.135 | 0.197 | 0.165 | 0.019 | Côte d'Ivoire |
|
| 0.100 | 0.135 | 0.197 | 0.184 | 0.019 | Côte d'Ivoire |
|
||||||
| 0.098 | 0.130 | 0.189 | 0.160 | 0.018 | Cameroon |
|
| 0.098 | 0.130 | 0.189 | 0.178 | 0.018 | Cameroon |
|
||||||
| 0.097 | 0.130 | 0.192 | 0.160 | 0.019 | Guinea-Bissau |
|
| 0.097 | 0.130 | 0.192 | 0.178 | 0.019 | Guinea-Bissau |
|
||||||
| 0.097 | 0.129 | 0.183 | 0.157 | 0.018 | Malawi |
|
| 0.097 | 0.129 | 0.183 | 0.176 | 0.018 | Malawi |
|
||||||
| 0.096 | 0.129 | 0.186 | 0.157 | 0.018 | United Republic of Tanzania |
|
| 0.096 | 0.129 | 0.186 | 0.175 | 0.018 | United Republic of Tanzania |
|
||||||
| 0.096 | 0.128 | 0.184 | 0.156 | 0.018 | Afghanistan |
|
| 0.096 | 0.128 | 0.184 | 0.175 | 0.018 | Afghanistan |
|
||||||
| 0.094 | 0.122 | 0.186 | 0.153 | 0.018 | Kenya |
|
| 0.094 | 0.122 | 0.186 | 0.172 | 0.018 | Kenya |
|
||||||
| 0.094 | 0.130 | 0.190 | 0.154 | 0.019 | Nigeria |
|
| 0.094 | 0.130 | 0.190 | 0.171 | 0.019 | Nigeria |
|
||||||
| 0.092 | 0.118 | 0.179 | 0.149 | 0.018 | Equatorial Guinea |
|
| 0.092 | 0.118 | 0.179 | 0.167 | 0.018 | Equatorial Guinea |
|
||||||
| 0.091 | 0.126 | 0.177 | 0.146 | 0.017 | Gambia |
|
| 0.091 | 0.126 | 0.177 | 0.162 | 0.017 | Gambia |
|
||||||
| 0.091 | 0.116 | 0.170 | 0.150 | 0.017 | Chad |
|
| 0.091 | 0.116 | 0.170 | 0.168 | 0.017 | Chad |
|
||||||
| 0.090 | 0.112 | 0.203 | 0.141 | 0.018 | Qatar |
|
| 0.090 | 0.112 | 0.203 | 0.158 | 0.018 | Qatar |
|
||||||
| 0.088 | 0.121 | 0.172 | 0.146 | 0.017 | Niger |
|
| 0.088 | 0.121 | 0.172 | 0.162 | 0.017 | Niger |
|
||||||
| 0.088 | 0.118 | 0.173 | 0.144 | 0.017 | Burkina Faso |
|
| 0.088 | 0.118 | 0.173 | 0.160 | 0.017 | Burkina Faso |
|
||||||
| 0.088 | 0.109 | 0.169 | 0.144 | 0.017 | Burundi |
|
| 0.088 | 0.109 | 0.169 | 0.161 | 0.017 | Burundi |
|
||||||
| 0.087 | 0.117 | 0.169 | 0.145 | 0.017 | Mali |
|
| 0.087 | 0.117 | 0.169 | 0.162 | 0.017 | Mali |
|
||||||
| 0.085 | 0.111 | 0.164 | 0.139 | 0.016 | Angola |
|
| 0.085 | 0.111 | 0.164 | 0.155 | 0.016 | Angola |
|
||||||
| 0.083 | 0.104 | 0.190 | 0.130 | 0.016 | United Arab Emirates |
|
| 0.083 | 0.104 | 0.190 | 0.146 | 0.016 | United Arab Emirates |
|
||||||
| 0.083 | 0.107 | 0.158 | 0.134 | 0.016 | Zambia |
|
| 0.083 | 0.107 | 0.158 | 0.150 | 0.016 | Zambia |
|
||||||
| 0.074 | 0.099 | 0.147 | 0.121 | 0.015 | Uganda |
|
| 0.074 | 0.099 | 0.147 | 0.136 | 0.015 | Uganda |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Note that in addition to countries, there are rows for each continent and for the world.
|
Note that in addition to countries, there are rows for each continent and for the world.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+7
-7
@@ -69,16 +69,16 @@ ifrs = [
|
|||||||
}),
|
}),
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Levin et al.
|
# Levin et al.
|
||||||
# https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v5
|
# https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v7
|
||||||
# (table 3)
|
# (table 3)
|
||||||
('COVID: Levin', {
|
('COVID: Levin', {
|
||||||
(0,34): 0.004,
|
(0,34): 0.004,
|
||||||
(35,44): 0.06,
|
(35,44): 0.068,
|
||||||
(45,54): 0.2,
|
(45,54): 0.23,
|
||||||
(55,64): 0.7,
|
(55,64): 0.75,
|
||||||
(65,74): 2.3,
|
(65,74): 2.5,
|
||||||
(75,84): 7.6,
|
(75,84): 8.5,
|
||||||
(85,maxage): 22.3,
|
(85,maxage): 28.3,
|
||||||
}),
|
}),
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# IFR for seasonal influenza
|
# IFR for seasonal influenza
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+7
-7
@@ -55,16 +55,16 @@ ifrs_covid = [
|
|||||||
}),
|
}),
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Levin et al.
|
# Levin et al.
|
||||||
# https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v5
|
# https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v7
|
||||||
# (table 3)
|
# (table 3)
|
||||||
('Levin', {
|
('Levin', {
|
||||||
(0,34): 0.004,
|
(0,34): 0.004,
|
||||||
(35,44): 0.06,
|
(35,44): 0.068,
|
||||||
(45,54): 0.2,
|
(45,54): 0.23,
|
||||||
(55,64): 0.7,
|
(55,64): 0.75,
|
||||||
(65,74): 2.3,
|
(65,74): 2.5,
|
||||||
(75,84): 7.6,
|
(75,84): 8.5,
|
||||||
(85,maxage): 22.3,
|
(85,maxage): 28.3,
|
||||||
}),
|
}),
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Salje et al.: Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France
|
# Salje et al.: Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user