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add IFRs for continents

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Marc Bevand
2020-09-27 15:01:20 -07:00
parent d4a1b0f833
commit aa4bd12c4d
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@@ -266,8 +266,18 @@ The **overall IFR varies dramatically by more than 10-fold** between countries w
population and those with an old population. population and those with an old population.
In fact, **the young age of the population in Africa is a major factor explaining the In fact, **the young age of the population in Africa is a major factor explaining the
relatively small number of deaths** on this continent. We find IFR=0.127% for Africa, relatively small number of deaths** on this continent. We find (ENE-COVID)
and IFR=0.810% in Europe, a 6-fold difference. IFR=0.127% for Africa, and IFR=0.810% in Europe, a 6-fold difference.
The overall IFR is, for each world region and the world:
* 0.810% Europe
* 0.675% Northern America
* 0.518% Oceania
* 0.356% Latin America and the Caribbean
* 0.325% Asia
* 0.127% Africa
* **0.358% World**
Our code, with the ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey data from June 2020, accurately Our code, with the ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey data from June 2020, accurately
predicted an overall IFR of 0.669% in the United States, which is very close to predicted an overall IFR of 0.669% in the United States, which is very close to