diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 5fd8570..a544e02 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ -*Updated: 07 Oct 2020* +*Updated: 21 Oct 2020* Author: Marc Bevand @@ -349,7 +349,7 @@ for all regions. For example, in the US the average flu IFR is 0.078%, compared # Calculating the age-stratified IFR of COVID-19 from the Spanish ENE-COVID study -The largest serological prevalence survey of COVID-19 was conducted by Spain +One of the largest serological prevalence surveys of COVID-19 was conducted by Spain during the second round of the ENE-COVID study that analyzed 63 564 samples between 18 May 2020 and 01 June 2020. We used its [provisional results][sero] published on 03 June to calculate the overall and age-stratified IFR of COVID-19 with the @@ -374,8 +374,7 @@ The average IFR for Spain is **1.117%**. However the true IFR may be higher due to right-censoring, under-reporting of deaths, or low specificity of the serological test; or the true IFR may be lower due to low sensitivity of the serological test. -The Spanish serological study remains the largest published study available to -this day. The age-stratified IFR was calculated from three sources: +The age-stratified IFR was calculated from three sources: 1. Detailed *prevalence data for age brackets*, from the [serosurvey][sero] (table 1) 1. *Total deaths* and *deaths per age bracket* from the [Ministry of Health's daily report for 29 May][daily] (table 2 and table 3)