From b83888905e37d8d720b50c26cd7b6d1988ecc67b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Marc Bevand Date: Sun, 27 Sep 2020 13:43:03 -0700 Subject: [PATCH] update README --- README.md | 10 ++++++++-- 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+), 2 deletions(-) diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index b077d15..3b33e3d 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -11,8 +11,14 @@ This repository contains code to: The script [apply_ifr.py](apply_ifr.py) uses a handful of age-stratified IFR estimates and applies them to countries' population pyramids, to -find their overall IFR assuming equal prevalence of the disease among all -age groups. IFR estimates come from: +find their expected overall IFR assuming equal prevalence of the disease among all +age groups. + +Of course, the real-world overall IFR will dependent on many factors: varying +prevalence among age groups, underlying health conditions, access to +healthcare, socioeconomic status, ethnicity, etc. + +IFR estimates come from: 1. ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey (calculated by `calc_ifr.py`, see next section) 1. [US CDC](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1)