From db662d371a48bad3d0aa5cfeb652bfbd4371a458 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Marc Bevand Date: Wed, 30 Sep 2020 23:13:51 -0700 Subject: [PATCH] README: explain indicators --- README.md | 14 ++++++++++---- 1 file changed, 10 insertions(+), 4 deletions(-) diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index e1db1fe..836e326 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -12,10 +12,16 @@ This project studies the age-stratified infection fatality ratio (IFR) of COVID- ![Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 vs. Seasonal Influenza](covid_vs_flu.png) The above chart compares the IFR of COVID-19 to the IFR of seasonal influenza. We -find that COVID-19 is definitely significantly more fatal than seasonal influenza at all -ages above 30 years. The source code to create this chart is -[covid_vs_flu.py](covid_vs_flu.py). The COVID-19 IFR curves represent various -estimates: +find that COVID-19 is definitely significantly more fatal than influenza at all +ages above 30 years. The source code producing this chart is +[covid_vs_flu.py](covid_vs_flu.py). + +The vertical indicators represent the difference in fatality between COVID-19 +and influenza at various ages, from 30 to 80 years at 10-year intervals. The +top/bottom of the indicators are anchored at the geometric means of the +COVID-19/influenza IFR estimates. + +The COVID-19 IFR curves represent these estimates: 1. ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey (calculated by `calc_ifr.py`, see [this section](#calculating-the-age-stratified-ifr-of-covid-19-from-the-spanish-ene-covid-study)) 1. [US CDC COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios](https://web.archive.org/web/20200911222029/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1)