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Marc Bevand
2020-10-07 22:24:49 -07:00
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@@ -321,10 +321,6 @@ IFR: Japan at 1.274-1.605% (excluding Levin et al.)
The country with the youngest population is expected to have the lowest overall
IFR: Uganda at 0.074-0.147%.
The **IFR of COVID-19 is one order of magnitude (10×) higher than the seasonal flu**
for all regions. For example, in the US the average flu IFR is 0.078%, compared to
0.669-1.169% for COVID-19.
The **overall IFR varies dramatically by more than 10-fold** between countries with a young
population and those with an old population.
@@ -347,6 +343,10 @@ predicted an overall IFR of 0.669% in the United States, which is very close to
[overall US CDC estimate of 0.65%](https://web.archive.org/web/20200712055258/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html)
published in July 2020.
The **IFR of COVID-19 is one order of magnitude (10×) higher than the seasonal flu**
for all regions. For example, in the US the average flu IFR is 0.078%, compared to
0.669-1.169% for COVID-19.
# Calculating the age-stratified IFR of COVID-19 from the Spanish ENE-COVID study
The largest serological prevalence survey of COVID-19 was conducted by Spain