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covid_vs_flu: add flu season 2019-2020

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Marc Bevand
2020-10-01 13:06:13 -07:00
parent 0f53ab81bc
commit 044819cc51
3 changed files with 12 additions and 1 deletions
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README.md
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@@ -42,6 +42,7 @@ The COVID-19 IFR curves represent these estimates:
The seasonal influenza IFR curves represent data from the US CDC on multiple seasons of flu:
1. [2019-2020 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html)
1. [2018-2019 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html)
1. [2017-2018 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm)
1. [2016-2017 influenza burden](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2016-2017.html)
covid_vs_flu.png
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covid_vs_flu.py
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@@ -208,6 +208,16 @@ cdc_sympt = .575
# Age-stratified IFR estimates for seasonal influenza
ifrs_flu = [
# US CDC 2019-2020 influenza burden
# https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html
('US CDC 2019-2020', {
(0,4): 254/4_291_677 * 100 * cdc_sympt,
(5,17): 180/8_214_257 * 100 * cdc_sympt,
(18,49): 2_669/15_325_708 * 100 * cdc_sympt,
(50,64): 5_133/8_416_702 * 100 * cdc_sympt,
(65,maxage): 13_673/1_946_161 * 100 * cdc_sympt,
}),
# US CDC 2018-2019 influenza burden
# https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html
('US CDC 2018-2019', {
@@ -354,7 +364,7 @@ def main():
ax.xaxis.set_minor_locator(ticker.MultipleLocator(base=5))
ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(ticker.MultipleLocator(base=10))
ax.yaxis.set_major_formatter(ticker.FormatStrFormatter('%g'))
ax.text(75, .0016, 'Seasonal Influenza:')
ax.text(75, .0025, 'Seasonal Influenza:')
handles, labels = fig.gca().get_legend_handles_labels()
x = len(ifrs_flu)
ax.legend(handles=handles[-x:], labels=labels[-x:], loc='lower right',