expand explanation

This commit is contained in:
Marc Bevand
2020-06-10 20:10:52 -07:00
parent 52fd0407fe
commit 35f0d88e68
+11 -8
View File
@@ -35,14 +35,17 @@ this day. The age-stratified IFR was calculated from three sources:
1. *Total deaths* and *deaths per age bracket* from the [Ministry of Health's daily report for 29 May][daily] (table 2 and table 3)
1. *Population pyramid* for Spain, from [worldpopulationreview.com][wpop]
In order to minimize right-censoring, the parameters *total deaths* and *deaths
per age bracket* should be obtained from a point in time as close as possible
to when the serosurvey was conducted (18 May to 01 June.) We found only two
Ministry of Health reports in this time period that document deaths per age
bracket: [18 May][dailyalt], [29 May][daily]. However the Ministry of Health
has made significant corrections to deaths statistics on 25 May by subtracting
approximately 2 000 deaths. Therefore we trusted the statistics from 29 May over
those of 18 May.
In order to minimize right-censoring (deaths lagging infections,) the
parameters *total deaths* and *deaths per age bracket* should be obtained from
a point in time as close as possible to when the serosurvey was conducted (18
May to 01 June, preferably closer to the mid-point 25 May.) This is because the
seroconversion time is roughly the same as the time between infection and
death. We found only two Ministry of Health reports in this time period that
document deaths per age bracket: [18 May][dailyalt], [29 May][daily]. However
the Ministry of Health has made significant corrections to deaths statistics on
25 May by subtracting approximately 2 000 deaths. Therefore we trusted the
statistics from 29 May over those of 18 May. Furthermore, 29 May is closer to
the mid-point.
Important detail to note: there were 27 121 total deaths, however age information
was only available for 20 585 deaths, and was missing for 6 536 deaths.