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README: explain indicators

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Marc Bevand
2020-09-30 23:13:51 -07:00
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@@ -12,10 +12,16 @@ This project studies the age-stratified infection fatality ratio (IFR) of COVID-
![Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 vs. Seasonal Influenza](covid_vs_flu.png) ![Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 vs. Seasonal Influenza](covid_vs_flu.png)
The above chart compares the IFR of COVID-19 to the IFR of seasonal influenza. We The above chart compares the IFR of COVID-19 to the IFR of seasonal influenza. We
find that COVID-19 is definitely significantly more fatal than seasonal influenza at all find that COVID-19 is definitely significantly more fatal than influenza at all
ages above 30 years. The source code to create this chart is ages above 30 years. The source code producing this chart is
[covid_vs_flu.py](covid_vs_flu.py). The COVID-19 IFR curves represent various [covid_vs_flu.py](covid_vs_flu.py).
estimates:
The vertical indicators represent the difference in fatality between COVID-19
and influenza at various ages, from 30 to 80 years at 10-year intervals. The
top/bottom of the indicators are anchored at the geometric means of the
COVID-19/influenza IFR estimates.
The COVID-19 IFR curves represent these estimates:
1. ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey (calculated by `calc_ifr.py`, see [this section](#calculating-the-age-stratified-ifr-of-covid-19-from-the-spanish-ene-covid-study)) 1. ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey (calculated by `calc_ifr.py`, see [this section](#calculating-the-age-stratified-ifr-of-covid-19-from-the-spanish-ene-covid-study))
1. [US CDC COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios](https://web.archive.org/web/20200911222029/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1) 1. [US CDC COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios](https://web.archive.org/web/20200911222029/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html) (table 1)